Bold Box Office Predictions: Will The Mechanic Sequel Save The Summer? (We’re Kidding Obviously)

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Notable Openings This Weekend: Don’t Breathe, Mechanic: Resurrection

So this is how the summer ends? Yes, this weekend officially marks the end of summer movie season. We laughed (Sausage Party). We cried (Suicide Squad). We saw cats (Nine Lives). As we look at the two movies opening in wide release, we shouldn’t be surprised. This weekend always marks a notorious crap-fest. Just for a brief history lesson, the movies released at this time last year were War Room and No Escape with Owen Wilson. Yay. Get ready for more of the same these next few weeks, as the bridge from summer to Oscars is replaced with everybody watching Football. What better way to start the non-relevance than with a Jason Statham movie!

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I’ve been a long time Jason Statham naysayer. He’s passable in an ensemble, but as a leading action star, I couldn’t care less. It sounds like everyone agrees with me. The last three wide released (over 2,000 theaters) Statham movies in which he was the leading role have averaged just over $7 Million opening weekend. I think we’ve seen enough. Studios making a Jason Statham movie is the equivalent to Lucy pulling that damn football away from Charlie Brown. They always try to hide him in the dregs of late August and January. It never goes unnoticed. Mechanic: Resurrection will flop. Also, pulling the “Resurrection” card in your sequel title? Wow. They flat out didn’t care.

What is there to say about Don’t Breathe? Much like Lights Out and The Shallows, it will do very well on a low budget. At some point in the summer we may just get horror movies and animation.

HOW WILL IT ALL BREAK DOWN…

In the first ever Pop-Break Fantasy Football Draft, the Editor-in-Chief deliberately pisses me off by taking Rob Gronkowski before I can. [Editor’s Note: This is factually correct].  Someone else will draft Calvin Johnson forgetting that he retired.

GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE IN THEIR FANTASY DRAFTS THIS WEEKEND!

1. Don’t Breathe – $19 Million

2. Suicide Squad — $12 Million

3. Sausage Party – $10.5 Million

4. War Dogs – $8.5 Million

5. Mechanic: Resurrection – $8 Million


Daniel Cohen is the Film Editor for Pop-Break. Aside from reviews, Daniel does a weekly box office predictions column, and also contributes monthly Top Tens and Op-Ed’s on all things film. Daniel is a graduate of Bates College with a degree in English, and also studied Screenwriting at UCLA. He can also be read on www.movieshenanigans.com. His movie crush is Jessica Rabbit. Follow him on Twitter @dcohenwriter.

Daniel Cohen is the hard-boiled Film Editor for the Pop Break. Besides reviews, Daniel writes box office predictions, Gotham reviews and Oscar coverage. He can also be found on the Breakcast. If Daniel was sprayed by Scarecrow's fear toxin, it would be watching Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen on a non-stop loop.